Atletico Rafaela vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 1
IRV
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAF
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
SMA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 3
BAR
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
SMA
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
GIM
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SUA
4 - 1
SMA
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |