Atletico Rafaela vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 2
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
SMA
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAF
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
SLO
4 - 2
CAU
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 3
SLO
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
SLO
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SLO
3 - 0
BOC
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 2
SLO
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |