Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
RAF
2 - 1
GIM
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DAL
0 - 2
RAF
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 3
RAF
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
AGR
0 - 1
QUI
42%
30%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
BRO
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
QUI
3 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |