Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 0
RAF
24%
28%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 0
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 0
RAF
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALB
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALD
2 - 2
RAF
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
MOR
46%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 1
QUI
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 3
ALB
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
ALD
1 - 3
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 1
IRV
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |