Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ATT
0 - 0
RAF
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
RAF
2 - 1
CAI
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
IRV
2 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 3
AND
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 0
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 2
QUI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |