Atletico Rafaela vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
RAF
67%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TAL
4 - 0
RAF
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
2 - 3
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
NOB
4 - 3
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 2
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
NOB
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOC
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |