Atletico Rafaela vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 1
RAF
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 1
RAF
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 2
RAF
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 0
QUI
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
INS
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
INS
3 - 0
TIG
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |