Atletico Rafaela vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
RAF
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
RAF
2 - 0
TFE
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CAU
2 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RAF
0 - 0
DYJ
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
RAF
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
IRV
2 - 4
QUI
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 2
IRV
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUC
0 - 0
IRV
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 0
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |