Atletico Rafaela vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 2
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
RAF
0 - 1
ALD
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 0
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RAF
2 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TFE
1 - 1
RAF
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
IRV
0 - 1
GOD
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
IRV
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
IRV
1 - 2
CHA
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
IRV
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
IRV
0 - 0
DYJ
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |