Atletico Rafaela vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IRV
3 - 2
RAF
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
GIM
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 2
IRV
33%
28%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
GBR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
INS
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 1
GBR
38%
31%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
SUA
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |