Atletico Rafaela vs Gimnasia Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DAL
0 - 2
RAF
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 3
RAF
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
RAF
3 - 2
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RIE
3 - 3
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
RAF
3 - 2
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 1
TIG
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 3
GIM
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
2 - 3
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RAF
1 - 5
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |