Atletico Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
RAF
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
RAF
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 1
CAG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
IRV
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
GIM
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
INS
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALB
41%
30%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |