Atletico Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 0
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 1
RAF
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 3
MER
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 1
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
SMA
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
GIM
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
TFE
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 0
GIM
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 3
CAU
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |