Atletico Rafaela vs Flandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.2%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.8%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.4%
1.4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 2
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 1
DYJ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
RAF
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CDN
1 - 1
RAF
24%
27%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
FLA
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
ACA
18%
26%
56%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 0
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |