Atletico Rafaela vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
RAF
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
RAF
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAF
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RAF
3 - 1
ARG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DYJ
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
DES
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
FER
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
PAT
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 0
FER
50%
28%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |