Atletico Rafaela vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 0
RAF
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 1
CEN
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 3
RAF
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
RAF
2 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEN
34%
31%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
BEL
37%
30%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SMA
3 - 1
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ALM
50%
29%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |