Atletico Rafaela vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 0
RAF
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
2 - 1
CAU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
4 - 1
INS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
GOD
3 - 2
RAF
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FER
1 - 0
GOD
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
CHA
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
DYJ
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |