Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 2
RAF
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
4 - 1
ALM
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
RAF
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
IRV
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
MOR
26%
30%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUA
53%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |