Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 5
RIV
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 0
RAF
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
MER
28%
28%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |