Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 1
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
RAF
2 - 0
IRV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
AND
3 - 0
RAF
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
RAF
2 - 0
INS
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
QUI
25%
30%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |