Atletico Rafaela vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
ALD
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
GIM
2 - 2
RAF
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
RAF
1 - 2
CAU
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
TFE
2 - 4
RAF
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 0
ATT
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
DYJ
57%
25%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 0
SMA
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
DYJ
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
ALM
2 - 0
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |