Atletico Rafaela vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
RAF
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DAL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 2
RAF
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 0
RAF
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
IRV
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |