Atletico Rafaela vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 1
RAF
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
3 - 1
RAF
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 3
RAF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
COL
5 - 1
TAL
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LAN
0 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
RAC
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
VEL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |