Atletico Rafaela vs CAI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
IRV
4 - 3
RAF
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 0
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
TFE
1 - 2
RAF
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
RAF
3 - 0
CAU
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 2
CAI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
4 - 0
MER
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
CAI
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
BEL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |