Atletico Rafaela vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
RAF
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAF
4 - 0
GLP
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
COL
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 1
RAF
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 1
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
VEL
3 - 3
RAC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 4
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 0
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |