Atletico Rafaela vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 0
RAF
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 2
RAF
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
FLA
92%
6%
1%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 2
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
TEM
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 2
CEN
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
RIV
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |