Atletico Rafaela vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAF
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
RAF
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAF
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 3
NOB
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
RAF
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
3 - 0
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 2
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
LAN
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |