Atletico Rafaela vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RAF
0 - 2
CAU
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RAF
0 - 1
ALB
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 2
RAF
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RAF
3 - 0
BAN
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 2
TIG
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
GOD
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 4
VEL
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RAF
3 - 0
BAN
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |