Atletico Rafaela vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 1
IRV
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAF
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 1
IRV
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
INS
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
GIM
0 - 0
BRO
36%
31%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
SUA
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |