Atletico Rafaela vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 0
RAF
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 2
DYJ
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TFE
1 - 2
RAF
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 2
CAU
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
TAL
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |