Atletico Rafaela vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
RAF
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 2
ALM
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DYJ
2 - 2
RAF
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 2
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
RAF
1 - 0
SMA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 0
GOD
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
INS
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALM
53%
26%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 0
DYJ
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |