Atletico Rafaela vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RAF
3 - 0
TIG
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAU
0 - 0
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
RAF
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RAF
1 - 1
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARG
3 - 3
CAU
47%
28%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARG
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARG
1 - 1
BOC
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
ARG
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 1
ARG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |