Atletico Rafaela vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EST
3 - 0
RAF
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 1
RAF
31%
28%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 3
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 3
RAF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 1
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EST
4 - 3
ARG
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |