Atletico Rafaela vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DYJ
2 - 2
RAF
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 2
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
RAF
1 - 0
SMA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
RAF
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
RAF
2 - 2
BHU
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 0
GOD
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALM
53%
26%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALM
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
INS
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
DYJ
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |