CBF Brasileiro U20 Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Athlético PR U20 vs São Paulo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético PR U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
ATL
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |