Atlético Policial vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POL
4 - 1
INS
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
GYT
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CON
0 - 3
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
POL
3 - 2
FAM
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CCS
4 - 0
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAR
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
PLA
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
TEM
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |