Athletico Paranaense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 1
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 0
PPE
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 4
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ATP
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 2
VIT
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 2
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 2
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |