Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-6
Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATP
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 2
COR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATP
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
VAS
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 2
FFL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
SCI
0 - 2
VAS
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 1
GOI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |