Athletico Paranaense vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
17.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
20.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
10%
1.9%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATP
41%
29%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
CIA
87%
11%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATP
22%
29%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 2
COT
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
COT
1 - 1
TCW
72%
20%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TCW
1 - 1
OPE
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CCR
1 - 2
TCW
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TCW
0 - 0
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TCW
0 - 0
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |