Athletico Paranaense vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
19.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 3
DEP
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PRU
2 - 1
ATP
7%
20%
73%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 2
PST
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TCW
2 - 1
FOZ
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TCW
2 - 1
LON
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PST
1 - 1
TCW
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
TCW
78%
16%
5%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |