Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 3
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
COT
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |