Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-5
Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 1
ATP
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 2
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
ATP
0 - 0
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2005 |
ATP
3 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATP
31%
26%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 3
SCI
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIV
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
TIG
2 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |