Athletico Paranaense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 4
ATP
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATP
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRI
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |