Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
5 - 0
OPE
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 3
MOT
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 0
SAM
11%
19%
69%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
COR
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |