Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ATP
5 - 0
CCR
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ATP
4 - 1
JMA
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATP
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
ATP
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATP
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
SDF
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 1
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |