Athletico Paranaense vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
FOZ
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATP
13%
24%
64%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
ATP
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
CIA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 1
FOZ
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAS
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |