Athletico Paranaense vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 1
REM
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
NPR
0 - 1
ATP
8%
19%
74%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 0
PRU
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
REM
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PRU
2 - 2
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
NPR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
3 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOZ
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |