Athletico Paranaense vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 1
CRB
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 1
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
IFC
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 0
ATP
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
LON
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 3
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
5 - 2
IRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |