Athletico Paranaense vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
5 - 0
OPE
81%
14%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
0 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
JMA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |