Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.4%
6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
NPR
0 - 1
ATP
8%
19%
74%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 0
PRU
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
REM
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
ATP
14%
22%
63%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
REM
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
REM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
REM
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
REM
1 - 3
PAY
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
REM
2 - 1
GAV
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |